Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.002504 0.002668 0.002843 0.003045 0.003274 0.003527 0.003829
2024-11-03 0.002150 0.002353 0.002582 0.002862 0.003200 0.003602 0.004125
2024-11-10 0.002008 0.002248 0.002531 0.002893 0.003358 0.003950 0.004795
2024-11-17 0.001911 0.002179 0.002506 0.002944 0.003536 0.004344 0.005608
2024-11-24 0.001802 0.002084 0.002434 0.002920 0.003605 0.004594 0.006271
2024-12-01 0.001743 0.002042 0.002424 0.002972 0.003779 0.005020 0.007341
2024-12-08 0.001670 0.001976 0.002375 0.002961 0.003856 0.005307 0.008262
2024-12-15 0.001594 0.001900 0.002304 0.002910 0.003863 0.005473 0.009008
2024-12-22 0.001564 0.001882 0.002312 0.002974 0.004057 0.006004 0.010820
2024-12-29 0.001531 0.001859 0.002310 0.003020 0.004226 0.006529 0.012989
2025-01-05 0.001475 0.001800 0.002251 0.002971 0.004223 0.006707 0.014301
2025-01-12 0.001409 0.001724 0.002164 0.002873 0.004119 0.006647 0.014791
2025-01-19 0.001370 0.001686 0.002133 0.002867 0.004196 0.007032 0.017448
2025-01-26 0.001289 0.001587 0.002009 0.002700 0.003952 0.006626 0.016467
2025-02-02 0.001265 0.001568 0.002001 0.002726 0.004082 0.007156 0.020570
2025-02-09 0.001247 0.001556 0.002005 0.002772 0.004256 0.007860 0.027643
2025-02-16 0.001215 0.001522 0.001971 0.002750 0.004290 0.008199 0.033732
2025-02-23 0.001200 0.001513 0.001977 0.002796 0.004475 0.009064 0.051843
2025-03-02 0.001174 0.001486 0.001952 0.002786 0.004535 0.009566 0.074050
2025-03-09 0.001142 0.001448 0.001910 0.002741 0.004508 0.009759 0.096567
2025-03-16 0.001133 0.001446 0.001922 0.002798 0.004730 0.011001 0.342811
2025-03-23 0.001121 0.001438 0.001926 0.002840 0.004922 0.012283 NaN
2025-03-30 0.001094 0.001406 0.001888 0.002796 0.004893 0.012558 NaN